Field Operations Ruled
Republicans Used Field Operations Just When Democrats Were Ignoring It
There is shock in Democratic circles because there will be a massive staff
change on the Hill and the appointment of Republican federal judges because the
Senate will switch parities.
If Republicans picking up a few seats in the House and the Senate were not
enough, there were also problems with governor races. There were more Republican
seats up and many of those seats were open (no incumbent running for
reelection). The Democrats in state races, it was thought, could also take
better advantage of issues.
Democrats won some big states—Illinois, Michigan and Pennsylvania. They
took a total of ten states away from the Republicans who were defending 23. The
expectation was that Democrats would gain a net of six or seven seats and some
party leaders were even talking about a nine-seat blood bath.
No incumbent Republican governor lost, however, and on the other side, of the
eleven seats Democrats were defending eight were lost including three
incumbents. The incumbents who lost were in the South where there are three
additional Democratic governors up over the next two years. In the Northeast,
George Pataki was joined by a group of Republicans who picked up open Democratic
seats.
Most of the media chatter is directed at a supposed failure of Democratic
ideas. Democrats, it is said, did not say what they would do to improve the
economy, the leadership had no big initiatives and they were just negative. Or
Democrats were drowned out by the Republicans use of Iraq and terrorism to block
campaign coverage as did the sniper story. As if press coverage is the only
communication in a political campaign.
Democrats had no more trouble getting their message out than did Republicans.
And the Democrats have been so good about ideas the Republicans were
triangulating them. The difference this cycle was that Republicans were much
better at field operations than the Democrats who, in many places, sat out the
election organizationally.
After the last presidential race, the Republican leadership’s assessment
was that the Democrats out-organized them in both field operations and GOTV (get
out the vote) activities. They also realized that the almost obscene levels of
television advertising on both sides had reached the limit. Though they did not
abandon television—still the most powerful communication tool—they devised a
plan to grow other aspects of their campaign. Radio, phones, internet and direct
mail saw greater use by Republicans in contested races.
Ken Mehlmen, White House Director of Political Affairs (Josh Lyman in TV’s
Democratic West Wing) spelled it out at a dinner speech in Washington:
the "72 Hour Campaign" was their secret weapon.
E-mail lists, sophisticated computer programs, voter lists on Palm Pilots,
cell phones, traveling call centers, busloads of workers being taken directly
from rallies where the President spoke to walk neighborhoods canvassing
Republicans, IDing (phone and walk identification) favorable voters, calling the
positives, often with neighbors calling neighbors, and taking favorable voters
to the polls. The renewed uses of traditional shoe-leather campaigning were
emphasized with bigger budgets and advanced technology.
In contested campaigns there was often a separate staff devoted to Election
Day. While the normal campaign staff toiled on the day-to-day concerns of
fundraising, scheduling, press and all forms of media, the other campaign staff,
for weeks in advance, worked just on Election Day and in the end everyone worked
for them.
It was field operations that made the difference -- not manipulating press
coverage. Journalists largely ignored the substantial expansion of
organizational operations by Republican and the neglect of it by Democrats.
Will the Democratic losses in the South continue? Can the Democrats get
their reputation in field operations back? Are moderate Northeastern Republicans
back in vogue? More later.